:Issued: 2012 Nov 19 1258 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 21119 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 19 Nov 2012, 1249UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 19 Nov 2012 until 21 Nov 2012) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Nov 2012 10CM FLUX: 141 / AP: 006 PREDICTIONS FOR 20 Nov 2012 10CM FLUX: 141 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Nov 2012 10CM FLUX: 140 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity has been low, several C-class flares in past 24h. The largest one was a C7.0 flare from NOAA AR 1618, peaking at 02:28 UT. More C-class flares are expected. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so. TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 084, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 18 Nov 2012 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 141 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 009 AK WINGST : 006 ESTIMATED AP : 005 ESTIMATED ISN : 088, BASED ON 19 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#