:Issued: 2012 Dec 24 1229 UTC :Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 21224 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 24 Dec 2012, 1219UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 24 Dec 2012 until 26 Dec 2012) SOLAR FLARES : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Dec 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Dec 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 015 PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Dec 2012 10CM FLUX: 115 / AP: 022 COMMENT: We expect NOAA AR 1635 to produce flares, possible up to the M-class level. Mild enhancements of geomagnetic activity are expected in the coming days due to a coronal hole passing the central meridian. Merry Christmas! TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 042, BASED ON 03 STATIONS. SOLAR INDICES FOR 23 Dec 2012 WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 114 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 003 AK WINGST : 002 ESTIMATED AP : 001 ESTIMATED ISN : 067, BASED ON 05 STATIONS. NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE END BT #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium # # Royal Observatory of Belgium # # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224 # # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491 # # # # For more information, see http://sidc.be/products/meu # # Please do not reply directly to this message, but send comments # # and suggestions to 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use # # that address, use 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead. # # To unsubscribe, visit http://sidc.be/registration/unsub.php # #--------------------------------------------------------------------#