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Observations

Space Based Imaging

More data: SWAP, EUI

Ground Based Imaging

More: H-α, WL, Ca-IIK, Drawings

Ground Based Radio

More: ARCAS+HSRS, CALLISTO

Space Based Timelines

More data: LYRA, TSI

WDC Sunspot Index

More data: SILSO

Space Weather Services

Detections

Solar Map

Latest Alerts

Presto 2024-10-10

The global geomagnetic conditions have now reached major storm levels (near real-time NOAA Kp 7). The geomagnetic conditions locally have reached minor storm levels (K BEL 5). These geomagnetic storms are the result of the interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) arrival, associated with the CME observed at 02:30 UTC on October 09. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to increase further over the next hours, potentially to severe storm levels (NOAA Kp 8). Further monitoring of the event is ongoing.

Flaremail 2024-10-09

A class M7.6 solar X-ray flare occurred on 2024/10/09 with peak time 23:12UT

CACTus Halo 2024-10-10

A halo or partial-halo CME was detected with the following characteristics: t0 | dt0| pa | da | v | dv | minv| maxv| 2024-10-09T02:36:07.522 | 0.9997222222222223 | 54 | 174 | 315 | 155 | 99 | 762 t0: onset time, earliest indication of liftoff dt0: duration of liftoff (hours) pa: principal angle, counterclockwise from North (degrees) da: angular width of the CME (degrees), v: median velocity (km/s) dv: variation (1 sigma) of velocity over the width of the CME mindv: lowest velocity detected within the CME maxdv: highest velocity detected within the CME

Forecasts

  • Flare: M-class flares
    (≥50%)
  • Protons: Warning condition
    (increased activity)
  • Geomagnetic: Major
    (ISES: Severe) magstorm
    (A>=100 or K>=7)
  • All quiet: False
  • Provisional SSN: 147

Solar Activity

URSIgram 2024-10-11

Solar flaring activity over the last 24 hours has been at moderate levels, with four M-class flares. The strongest flare was an M3.0 flare from beyond the west limb, peaking at 22:30 UTC on October 10. There are currently six numbered active regions on the solar disk. The most complex one is SIDC Sunspot Group (SG) 217 (NOAA AR 3848, magnetic type beta-gamma-delta). SIDC SG 282 (NOAA AR 3853, magnetic type alpha) has emerged in the northeast quadrant. A new active region, SIDC SG 283 (NOAA AR 3854, magnetic type beta-gamma) is now numbered west of SIDC SG 281 (NOAA AR 3852, magnetic type beta-gamma). The solar flaring activity is expected to be at moderate to high levels over the next 24 hours, with M-class flares expected and a chance for X-class flares. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in the available coronagraph imagery. The northern, negative polarity coronal hole reported on October 09 has fully crossed the central meridian. A possible, mild high-speed stream associated with it could arrive at Earth starting from UTC midnight on October 11 but may be indistinguishable from the influence of the coronal mass ejection (CME) arrival reported on October 10. The southern, positive polarity coronal hole has fully crossed the central meridian. A possible, mild high-speed stream associated with it could arrive at Earth starting from UTC midday on October 13. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux as measured by GOES 16 and GOES 18 was at minor radiation storm levels, with short moderate storm intervals until 03:30 UTC on October 11. It has since decreased below the 10 pfu threshold but currently remains close to it. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain below the threshold for the next 24 hours, pending further eruptive activity. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux as measured by GOES 16 and GOES 18 was close to the threshold around 15:00 UTC on October 10 but remained below it. It is expected to remain below the threshold over the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is presently at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Solar Wind

URSIgram 2024-10-11

Geomagnetic conditions globally over the last 24 hours were mostly at severe storm levels (NOAA Kp 8- to 9-). Geomagnetic conditions locally over the last 24 hours were mostly at major storm levels (K BEL 7). Mostly minor to moderate storm conditions, with possible major storm intervals, are expected globally and locally in the next 24 hours due to the continued influence of the interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME) arrival from the CME that lifted off at 02:30 on October 09 and the possible arrival a mild high-speed stream from the northern, negative polarity coronal hole. The solar wind conditions were enhanced during the last 24 hours due to the arrival of an interplanetary coronal mass ejection (ICME), related to the halo coronal mass ejection (CME) observed at 02:30 UTC on October 09. A shock was detected in the solar wind data (ACE and DSCOVR) at 14:45 UTC on October 10. The interplanetary magnetic field jumped from 9 nT to 25 nT, with the Bz component changing from 6 nT to -25 nT. The solar wind speed jumped from 460 km/s to around 790 km/s. The solar wind density at the shock jumped from 9 ppcc to around 25 ppcc (DSCOVER). The maximum magnetic field value was around 46 nT (at 22:00 UTC on October 10), with the Bz component reaching values of around -46 nT at the same time. The interplanetary magnetic field angle changed from positive to negative at 22:00 UTC on October 10. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain enhanced over the next 24 hours, due to the continued influence from the ICME arrival and the possible arrival a mild high-speed stream from the northern, negative polarity coronal hole.

Research

News

X9 flare observed in LYRA Herzberg

Exceptional detection of an X9.0 flare by PROBA2/LYRA

On October 3, the Sun unleashed its most powerful eruption since 2017: a solar flare classified as X9.0 on the GOES scale, accompanied by a significant coronal mass ejection. We also observed a signal related to this flare in the Herzberg channel which is extremely rare.
X1flare

X1.8 flare and earth-directed CME

NOAA 3848 produced a long duration X1 flare early on 9 October. The associated coronal mass ejection (CME) has arrived around 14:45UTC. The severe geomagnetic storm is nearing its end. ***UPDATED (5)***
The October 2 solar eclipse observed by LYRA

The October 2 solar eclipse

After all the excitement surrounding the Great American Eclipse earlier this year, it is easy to forget that another one of these mesmerising was scheduled for the fall. The PROBA2 team prepared for special observations on October 2 when the instruments onboard had a first row seat of the eclipse.
 

Activities

Ground Observations

The SIDC monitors the level of solar activity from the photosphere to the corona with ground based instruments located in Uccle and Humain.

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Space Instruments

To avoid the disturbing or blocking effect of the Earth atmosphere, EUV observations of the solar corona need to be made from space...

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Space Weather & Climate

We monitor and forecast solar variability to provide information services  to society and industry about the influence of space weather and climate.

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Data Processing & Distribution

Data processing is necessary to extract relevant information for research studies, whereas data distribution and visualization are part of ROB open data policy.

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Modeling

Modelling of Solar phenomena allows scientists to test theories and to predict Space Weather phenomena and their impact on Earth.

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Supporting Research

The SIDC shares and expands its expertise through interaction with both upcoming and experienced researchers.

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